A Cold Week in Canada
As a Toronto Blue Jays fan all my life, this was a pretty challenging week.
North of the border, we knew it was coming. We’d heard about it daily since July and had seen the stories hit fever pitch a bunch of times – the trade deadline and the Winter Meetings not surprisingly being the biggest culprits. It got curiously quiet last weekend and into the start of the week.
Then, Monday afternoon, headlines broke that Roy Halladay was in Philadelphia. It took a few seconds to gather thoughts before the pieces fit together like a pile of bricks coming down on your already heavy chest. Roy Halladay had been traded to the Philadelphia Phillies. A frenzied night of rumors followed until we finally learned exactly which pieces were going where, but none of that was the real story for Jays fans.
For years, Halladay had been the comforting, reliable ace at the front of the rotation. He was dominant. For us, he threw fastballs with more movement than most curveballs. He put in incomparable effort and dedication to his craft. He gave baseball fans in hockey-dominated Canada a reason to be proud.
Until now, Halladay had been criminally under-recognized in the baseball world. It’s an absolute shame that he’s played in the MLB for 12-years without reaching the playoffs or even being nationally broadcasted in the US on any “Fox Game of the Week” or “ESPN Sunday Night Baseball” broadcast.
That’s where it gets easier to bare for Blue Jays fans.
You can ask any baseball fan in Toronto to tell you who won the big four-way trade that went down this week, and they’ll answer that the Phillies did. Our secret weapon won’t be a secret any longer. Everyone that has seen him work his magic on the mound knows what Roy Halladay is capable of doing. The Phillies may have given up Cliff Lee and a number of great prospects in the deal, but if they have any concerns, I can tell you this with complete honesty: You have no idea the type of talent your team just acquired.
I can go on and on about the emotional side of the Roy Halladay trade, but I’ll throw out a few numbers too. On his way to a 2.79 ERAs in 2009, he made 15 of his 32 starts against the Rays, Yankees and Red Sox – who comprised three of top four teams in wOBA and three of the top five in OPS. Imagine replacing a third of those with starts against the Washington Nationals.
In 2008, C.C. Sabathia essentially destroyed the National League for half a season. In 17 starts, he went 11-2, with 7 complete games, 3 shutouts, a 1.65 ERA and a WHIP barely over 1.00. Not to start a debate over it, but by most metrics, Roy Halladay was better in 2009 that C.C. Sabathia was. Now he gets his turn in the NL, and he gets it for at least four years.
As tough as the last week was for Jays fans, it won’t get much easier any time soon. Opening Day 2010 will be started by someone who isn’t Roy Halladay. When the team gets swept and the back of the rotation gets blown out on consecutive days, Roy Halladay won’t be there the next day to spare the bullpen and give every fan something to be happy about again.
Maybe one day Kyle Drabek will fill a similar role. Maybe Brett Wallace and Travis D’Arnaud will be key parts of an offense able to fight back in those rough stretches.
But at least for the next couple of years, Blue Jays fans will still have an escape when the going gets tough in Toronto. Roy Halladay will be carving out his legacy in the American spotlight, marching towards the playoffs, and fighting to win a World Series.
Philadelphia, I hope you don’t mind when a bunch of Canadians are cheering along with you next October. It will be a victory for us as much as it will be for you.
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Yeah unfortunately the Blue Jays had to make this move, because the longer the season went the less they were going to get for Halladay and there is no way he was re-signing in Toronto at the end of the season to play a game of let’s try and overtake Tampa Bay to finish 3rd and out of the playoffs for the rest of his career.
In terms of the Phillies though, while they definitely got the best pitcher in baseball, I don’t really see how this changes their situation much from having Cliff Lee at the top of the rotation. Remember Cliff won both of their World Series games. The biggest problem with them is rotation depth and not that they lacked a true No. 1. Maybe Hamels gets back his mental edge, but I wouldn’t be willing to bet everything I had on it.
I think the real winner here has got to be the Mariners with the offseason they are having. You put Cliff Lee at No. 2 behind King Felix and they added Figgins (that could go either way) and are still in the market for players. Got to like their chances of finally overtaking the Angels especially after they lost Lackey to Boston.
Definitely have to love the way the Mariners look for 2010 after his trade. I’m thinking of doing a little blog post about the winners so far in the off-season, and I’d have to think the Mariners will be near the top of the pack.
The Phillies get the small improvement from Halladay in 2010, but for them, it’s much more about having an ace they’ll be sure they can keep after 2010 at a reasonable rate. When they heard Lee wanted Sabathia money, it made sense for them not to look at Lee as their long-term ace.
Agreed
If I was a Phillies fan though I’d be pissed about not having one year with those guys together. Now that might be a team that could have beat the Yankees, though the Yanks are so familar with Halladay and are one team that fares pretty well against him.
If you’re going to do a post about winners I’d have to say the Yanks trade for Granderson was great. Gave up Kennedy who in the AL East was at best a No. 4 starter, Coke who’s easily replaceable and Austin Jackson who has nowhere near the power Granderson has. Not to mention Granderson in the lineup and in our field made for left handed pull-hitters should have a sweet year.
By the way I wouldn’t feel too bad. I’d bet if you put the Jays in any NL division they would just crush it. The NL is an absolute joke and every team in the AL East would be a playoff team capable of advancing if they played there.
Yeah, the Yankees will absolutely be on that list too. I love the Granderson trade for them, he’s going to do incredible as a power-lefty in that lineup, plus all the speed he brings. Jackson’s absolutely ceiling may not be where Granderson is now, so giving him up should be well worth it.
In recent years I think the Jays definitely could have done great in most divisions outside of the AL East really. Maybe not in 2009, and certainly not ahead in 2010, but I think in 2006-2008, they’d have been right up at the top in a lot of divisions around baseball. They really put together some underrated teams, and managed to be winning around 86 games or so each of those years in the AL East, so who knows what they’d have done in say the AL Central or NL Central or West.
And hey, Halladay pitched a 1-hitter against the Yankees at the beginning of September!
Isn’t one hit against Halladay pretty good? Don’t sell yourself short. The NL East isn’t very good, just check out some of the rotations in that division the past three years. I mean the Phillies were dominating that division with Hamels as their ace. Outside of Santana and now Halladay there isn’t a pitcher on there that could survive playing in the AL East (probably the best division in all of sports right now).
2010 Blue Jays
The 2010 Toronto Blue Jays are looking like a sure thing for last place in the AL Central. Baltimore has been improving with leaps and bounds by signing Millwood and Atkins and the team is also showing interest in free agent Matt Holliday. This is more than I can say for the Blue Jays; the Jays did well in the trade with Roy going to the Philly’s, but this trade will not factor into the 2010 season. Their rotation is going to made up of injury recovering, third spot in the rotation pitchers, a sophomore who had a good 2009 season, and other “shaky” at-best arms. The Jay’s lack a true closer, a lead off hitter, and a fifth hitter to protect Adam Lind (if they bat him in the fourth spot). These are crucial positions to win ball games, and place a lot of pressure on Lind and Hill, something that the Jay’s franchise may want to think twice about burdening their young superstars with.
A few suggestions from an outside eye:
a) Move Lind to first base (unless he is absolutely treble at fielding ground balls) Lind is a left handed, young, power hitter, who wants to stay with the organization, this will prolong his career and allow the team to have a legitimate first base man. Why not?
b) Sign a DH, a 1 or 2 year bandage (Delgado or Thome) someone who can hit the long ball and take some pressure off of Lind and Hill offensively.
c) Bring in a veteran arm, an inning eater with a positive attitude (Eric Bedard) for example.
d) And if you really want to prove to the Jay’s fans that you are trying to compete, sign another outfielder, Xavier Nady, a guy who has the ability to hit 300.
And if the Jay’s can not at least try to accomplish some of the above tasks, don’t even think about raising ticket prices!!!!
Warmest regards,
A Huge Jay’s fan who is extremely disappointed with the efforts of the franchise to compete in the AL East!
I can see the Jays being interested in Carlos Delgado. It’d be something to get the fans attention in what will otherwise be a dull season for casual fans. An innings-eating starter would help too, to take some pressure off the young arms, but they may be happy enough just to use Brian Tallet in a swingman role to do that.
I think the Jays top priorities are, and should be, adding to their new young core. They’ve got the makings of a devestating middle-of-the-lineup in a few years, with Lind, Hill, Snider and Wallace, plus hopefully some better output from Vernon Wells and the emergence of one of their catchers, Arencibia or D’Arnaud. The key to be should be adding to this core, and dealing guys like Overbay, Frasor, Downs and Encarnacion – all of which likely won’t be with the team to help when they’re ready to compete in 2012 or 2013 – or perhaps some of their excess starting pitching to land some good shortstop and center-field prospects, as these will remain holes down the road. Guys like OF Peter Bourjos from LAA and SS Reid Brignac from Tampa might all be targets, as they have big upsides, but also may be expendable by their current teams. If the Jays could add those parts somehow, which doesn’t seem impossible to me, they’d have the makings of a great team in a few years.

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