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NFL Betting: Public Favs and an Early NFL Pick

Donovan McNabb felt he was worth Brett Favre-like money and earlier this week the Redskins announced they were ready to cut the 12-year veteran QB a check.

By the time the season is over Peyton Manning will fetch himself a Tom Brady-esque ransom that is only of being the best two quarterbacks to play the game.

So where does Michael Vick fit in?

Vick, who is only under contract until the end of the 2010 season, put on a prime-time clinic vs. Washington to help the Eagles become the first team ever to score 28 points in the first quarter of a Monday Night Football game.

The Eagles are hosting the New York Giants in Week 12 and early lines from online sportsbook are popping up in the ‘Eagles -3’ range.

Football odds have to take recent performance into account along with public perception. Bookmakers this week are projecting that bettors will ‘turn out the lights’ on New York’s poor showing at the Meadowlands and bounce back with the kind of outing that generated a five-game win streak before the blow out loss.

Philadelphia only has a 1-4 ATS record at home in the Giants’ past five visits so sports books should likely see balanced action on this divisional game right up until kickoff.

Need to Know: NFL picks that receive more than 80-percent action from public bettors this season are 10-17-1 ATS (37-percent).

New England is one of the worst public favorites, with a 1-3 ATS in 2010.

BACK-2-BACK BRAGGING RIGHTS
The press conference before the New York Jets and Cleveland Browns matchup was almost as funny as the pass coverage Cleveland pretended to play in the final minute of their overtime loss.

Rex Ryan, for all of his brashness, turns out to be quite the joker and you can bet he’ll enjoy every minute of the next family get together with his brother Rob (Cleveland D-Co).

Brotherly bragging rights are not the only thing that came of the win, however. Rex also has a new NFL record to go with it.

The New York Jets are the first-ever NFL team to win back-to-back overtime games on the road (In Week 9 the Jets beat Detroit 23-20 in OT at Detroit).

EARLY BUY: HOUSTON AT NEW YORK JETS
The Jets are at home off back-to-back overtime wins and before the two-game road trip were shutout by the Green Bay Packers. It tells us that offense is going to be a huge priority for New York and this game is "live" in an Over/Under profile with a long record of success (3-0 this year).

This line will likely rise throughout the week but check NFL injury reports on Thursday and consider a play on the Texans and Jets "Over" 45 points.

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